Key Facts
- ✓ Vox has reached an estimated 18% voter support in Spain, gaining 5.5 points since the last general elections
- ✓ The party increased its seats from 5 to 11 in Extremadura regional elections with candidate Óscar Fernández
- ✓ The right-wing bloc now holds a 13-point advantage over the left-wing bloc in polling data
- ✓ Vox previously fell just six seats short of an absolute majority when combined with the PP
- ✓ Óscar Fernández was known by only 34.1% of voters one week before the Extremadura election
Quick Summary
Recent polling data indicates that Vox has reached an estimated 18% voter support in Spain, representing a significant increase in political momentum. The party's performance in recent regional elections in Extremadura serves as a reflection of this growing strength, where the party increased its seat count from 5 to 11 despite their candidate being relatively unknown to voters just one week before the election.
The latest political barometer shows that the right-wing bloc now holds a 13-point advantage over the left-wing bloc. Santiago Abascal's party has gained 5.5 points compared to the last general elections, bringing them closer to the majority threshold they narrowly missed previously. Meanwhile, political dynamics show Alberto Núñez Feijóo gaining slight ground while Pedro Sánchez has experienced a notable decline in support since the general elections.
Regional Success Drives National Momentum
The recent electoral results in Extremadura demonstrate the party's ability to make significant gains even with limited name recognition among voters. Óscar Fernández, the party's candidate in the region, was known by only 34.1% of voters just one week before the election. Despite this low initial recognition, the party managed to increase its representation from 5 to 11 seats in the regional parliament.
This regional success appears to be part of a broader national trend. The party's ability to double its seat count with a relatively unknown candidate suggests strong organizational capabilities and effective campaign strategies that resonate with voters in various regions of Spain.
Polling Data Shows Shifting Political Landscape
According to the latest political barometer, Vox currently holds an estimated vote share of nearly 18%. This represents a substantial increase of 5.5 percentage points compared to the results from the last general elections. The party previously fell just six seats short of achieving an absolute majority when combined with the PP (Partido Popular).
The current polling indicates that the right-wing political bloc has extended its advantage over the left-wing bloc to 13 points. This shift in the political landscape reflects changing voter preferences and the growing influence of right-wing parties in Spanish politics.
Leadership Trends and Political Dynamics
The upward trajectory for Santiago Abascal continues following his support for Donald Trump. This alignment appears to have contributed to the party's growing popularity and momentum in the political arena.
Meanwhile, Alberto Núñez Feijóo has experienced a modest gain of half a percentage point. However, this increase still leaves him nearly two points below his standing from 2023, indicating that while he has made some recovery, he has not fully regained previous support levels.
In contrast, Pedro Sánchez has faced significant challenges, losing five percentage points since the general elections. This decline represents a notable shift in his political standing and suggests potential difficulties for the left-wing bloc in future electoral contests.
Implications for Spanish Politics
The current political trends suggest a significant realignment in Spanish politics. With Vox at 18% and the right-wing bloc maintaining a substantial lead, the political landscape appears to be shifting toward more conservative positions. The party's growth from being six seats shy of a majority coalition to its current stronger position indicates that future elections could produce dramatically different outcomes.
The data from recent polling and regional elections points to continued volatility in voter preferences. The ability of parties to mobilize support even with limited initial name recognition, as demonstrated in Extremadura, suggests that traditional political loyalties may be weakening, creating opportunities for parties to rapidly gain ground.




