Key Facts
- ✓ The United States is identified as the greatest source of global instability for 2026.
- ✓ This assessment surpasses risks posed by China, Russia, and Iran.
- ✓ Approximately 60 conflicts are currently active worldwide, the highest number since World War II.
- ✓ The US is described as dismantling the post-war international order it established.
Quick Summary
The upcoming year is identified as a critical juncture for international relations. A leading political risk analysis firm has released its projections for the major dangers facing the world in 2026.
The analysis concludes that the primary driver of global instability will not be traditional rivals or ongoing conflicts. Instead, the report points to the actions of the world's most powerful nation as the central concern for the near future.
A Shift in Global Leadership
The year 2026 is described as a decisive moment for the international landscape. A report from the Eurasia Group outlines the most significant risks facing the world in the coming year.
The findings indicate that the greatest source of global instability will not originate from China, Russia, or Iran. It will also not stem from the approximately 60 conflicts currently active around the planet, a number not seen since World War II. Instead, the report identifies the United States as the maximum cause of instability.
This assessment is based on the observation that the United States, the nation that built and led the post-war global order, is now in the process of dismantling it. This represents a fundamental shift in the behavior of the world's most powerful country.
The Trump Transformation
The report attributes this significant change in US foreign policy to the current presidential administration. The President is described as the most determined in modern history to transform the United States' role in the world.
Furthermore, the administration is noted to possess the capacity to enact this transformation effectively. This combination of intent and ability sets the stage for a major departure from decades of established US policy.
The core question posed by the report is what happens when the country that wrote the international rulebook decides it no longer wishes to follow those rules. The answer to this question is expected to define the geopolitical climate of 2026.
Key Risks for 2026
The analysis highlights several critical factors contributing to the global risk assessment. These factors distinguish the current situation from previous years.
The primary elements identified include:
- The United States acting as the main destabilizing force.
- A record number of active conflicts worldwide, totaling approximately 60.
- A deliberate policy shift away from the post-war international order.
These elements combine to create a unique and volatile environment for international diplomacy and security.
Conclusion
The Eurasia Group report serves as a stark warning for the year ahead. It suggests that the traditional anchors of global stability are shifting.
With the United States identified as the primary source of risk, the international community faces a period of uncertainty. The actions taken by the US administration will likely dictate the global political trajectory for 2026 and beyond.




